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Higher VO2 Max Linked to Lower Depression and Anxiety Risk in UK Biobank
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THE ARISING · LONGEVITY & HEALTHSPAN SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2026
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LONGEVITY & HEALTHSPAN · WEEKLY READ · 2 MIN JOURNAL OF AFFECTIVE
DISORDERS · 2 SOURCES
Higher VO2 Max Linked to Lower
Depression and Anxiety Risk in UK
Biobank
Adults with higher aerobic fitness were less likely to be diagnosed
with depression or anxiety over the following 12 years, according to a
large study in the Journal of Affective Disorders.
his is an observational study in people. It followed 46,062 UK Biobank
participants who had no depression or anxiety at the start. ObservationalT
work can show that two things go together. It cannot show that one causes
the other.
Fitness was measured as VO2 max, the most oxygen a body can use during hard
exercise. It is a standard marker of heart and lung fitness. Here it was estimated from
a standardized submaximal exercise test, meaning participants were not pushed to
their limit. The researchers, led by Liu Y, tracked new cases of depression and
anxiety through linked health records coded with ICD-10, a standard system for
recording diagnoses.
THE ARISING · OCTOBER 18, 2026 PAGE 16
Over a median follow-up of 12.6 years, there were 2,190 cases of depression and 2,483
cases of anxiety. Compared with the least fit quarter of participants, the fittest
quarter had a 24% lower risk of depression (hazard ratio 0.76, 95% confidence
interval 0.64–0.91). Their anxiety risk was 17% lower (hazard ratio 0.83, 95%
confidence interval 0.71–0.98). These results account for sociodemographic, lifestyle
and clinical factors.
The pattern also held across the fitness range. For each 1-standard-deviation
increase in VO2 max, depression risk was 10% lower (0.90, 0.84–0.96). Anxiety risk
was 6% lower (0.94, 0.88–1.00), a result right at the edge of statistical significance.
The authors report a straight-line relationship for depression. For anxiety the
relationship was nonlinear, so the benefit did not rise in a steady line.
The study also reports that associations were stronger among people with a lower
biological age. The abstract does not say how biological age was calculated, so that
finding is hard to interpret here.
The team also looked at blood proteins in a subset of 3,245 participants. They found
seven plasma proteins that differed with fitness. Leptin and FABP4 were lower, and
SPINT3 and INSL3 were higher. Several of these proteins were independently linked
to mental health outcomes. The authors say this points to metabolic and
neuroprotective pathways as possible explanations. That is a hypothesis, not a
demonstrated mechanism.
FOR YOU
What does this mean for personal health? Aerobic fitness is already tied to heart
health. This study adds that it may also go with a lower chance of common mental
health diagnoses. But fitter people may differ from less fit people in ways that statistics
cannot fully remove. Early, undiagnosed low mood could also make exercise harder.
The abstract does not say how the authors handled that. And because outcomes came
from health records, people with symptoms who never sought care would not be
counted.
The findings sit alongside another recent Arising report, on a separate UK Biobank
study linking more REM sleep to lower risk of 83 diseases. Both are observational
and both point to modifiable habits. Neither shows that changing the habit changes
the outcome.
THE ARISING · OCTOBER 18, 2026 PAGE 17
To watch next: randomized trials that assign people to supervised aerobic training
and track depression and anxiety diagnoses over time, which would test whether
fitness itself makes the difference.
Sources: Journal of affective disorders (2026), Medscape (reporting on Journal of Affective Disorders)
THE ARISING · OCTOBER 18, 2026 PAGE 18
Source: AR-20261018-D-006 · 2026-10-18 · ORIGINAL_NEWSLETTER
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